Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.603178 0.669116 0.740426 0.823467 0.917746 1.021731 1.145470
2025-08-24 0.502105 0.593472 0.700003 0.834214 0.999934 1.199347 1.459711
2025-08-31 0.437701 0.539224 0.663617 0.828856 1.045011 1.321530 1.707521
2025-09-07 0.395374 0.503446 0.641251 0.832392 1.094679 1.447970 1.970266
2025-09-14 0.356588 0.466511 0.611356 0.819638 1.117226 1.536172 2.187278
2025-09-21 0.326520 0.437403 0.587794 0.811088 1.141917 1.626753 2.415847
2025-09-28 0.294110 0.401779 0.551359 0.779498 1.128061 1.656767 2.552415
2025-10-05 0.280675 0.391394 0.549156 0.796754 1.187741 1.803354 2.893134
2025-10-12 0.267734 0.380418 0.544748 0.809554 1.240782 1.944054 3.242399
2025-10-19 0.254390 0.367648 0.536332 0.814805 1.281364 2.067621 3.577871
2025-10-26 0.242254 0.355689 0.528000 0.819012 1.319908 2.190972 3.929669
2025-11-02 0.232247 0.346209 0.522637 0.827250 1.365553 2.331105 4.333682
2025-11-09 0.216998 0.327702 0.501898 0.808444 1.362714 2.384264 4.576164
2025-11-16 0.208919 0.320129 0.498356 0.818838 1.413645 2.544673 5.069225
2025-11-23 0.198593 0.308175 0.486615 0.813601 1.434626 2.648756 5.456777
2025-11-30 0.190733 0.299749 0.480134 0.817060 1.472141 2.789852 5.951755
2025-12-07 0.180777 0.287182 0.465675 0.804583 1.477005 2.863568 6.300263
2025-12-14 0.172285 0.276601 0.453960 0.796218 1.489097 2.953748 6.704816
2025-12-21 0.160883 0.260389 0.431321 0.765309 1.452046 2.931989 6.820775
2025-12-28 0.157559 0.258056 0.433334 0.782193 1.516324 3.144867 7.593813
2026-01-04 0.153777 0.254677 0.433185 0.794717 1.572444 3.346181 8.377725
2026-01-11 0.149189 0.249591 0.429540 0.799855 1.612806 3.515229 9.106070
2026-01-18 0.144742 0.244510 0.425573 0.803971 1.651203 3.684434 9.872330